Minimal MSE estimate given PMF

Suppose has the following PMF:

12345
0.150.280.260.190.13

Find the minimal MSE estimate of , given that is even. What is the error of this estimate?

Solution

The minimal MSE given is just where .

First compute the conditional PMF:

Therefore:

The error is:

Estimating on a variable interval

Suppose that and suppose .

(a) Find (b) Find (c) Find

Solution

(a) Find :

We know .

Given , so is uniform on , we have .


(b) Find :

We know .

We know and . From these we derive the joint distribution :

Now extract the marginal :

Now deduce the conditional :

Then:


(c) Find :

We need all the basic statistics.

because .

.

using the marginal PDF on . (IBP and L’Hopital are needed.)

also using the marginal .

using , namely:

From all this we infer and .

Hence:

Thus:

center